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lunes, 23 de mayo de 2011

Post-Spain, pre-Monaco analysis: time to go for Alonso

In my optimistic opinion, Spain GP ended with some good news for Alonso despite his 5th place. First, Ferrari´s capability to improve the car looked great during Friday, although their rear wing prohibition on Saturday somehow altered the armony of the car new parts, with the resulting outcome of Sunday´s race. Second, Alonso had his most amazing start in years, going from 4th to 1st through the dirty half of the track, which reflects a very remarkable enhancement of the car in its start system and the rapid solution of all of the problems Alonso had in the start of the first races. Third and last, next race is Monaco, scenario where Ferrari´s good car traction in narrow corners can make the difference, while Red Bull´s aerodynamics won´t be benefited from the very few fast corners, and MacLarens´ hard suspensions and top speed will find no reward in the bumps and short straights of Monte Carlo. I really think an OK performance by Alonso can bring him to his first win this year.

So taken all this together, I see good betting opportunities to be done right now: Alonso as F1 World Champion (pays up to 20.00), and Alonso winning at Monaco (pays up to 8.00).

Finally, I have to say Hamilton is doing great this year, and he was faster than Vettel in Spain. Currently, betting webs pay up to 8.00 for him winning the Championship, so maybe it´s also time to bet on him. However, I must confess I´d wait to the next week, when I hope to dedicate a post to him...

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